The world is approaching the global warming threshold that international agreements are trying to prevent, with a near 50-50 chance that the Earth will temporarily reach its temperature mark within the next five years, with a team of meteorologists around the world.
Given the ongoing anthropogenic climate change, it is 48% likely that the world will experience at least one annual average of 1.5 ° C above pre-industrial levels in the late 18th century by 2026. This is predicted by a team of 11 different forecast centers predicted for the World Meteorological Organization late Monday.
These forecasts are comprehensive global and regional climate forecasts on an annual and seasonal time scale based on long-term averages and state-of-the-art computer simulations. These are different from increasingly accurate weather forecasts, which predict how hot or rainy it will be on a particular day at a particular location.
According to a climate scientist, Zeke Hausfather of Stripe and Berkeley Earth, who was not part of the forecast team, how warm the world is already expected to be one-tenth of a degree Celsius over the next five years due to human-induced climate change.
Regardless of what you're predicting here, it's very likely to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius over the next 10 years, which means it is working in the long term and it's not worth making further changes, NASA top climate scientist Gavin Schmidt said in an email.